Age-Specific Fertility Regional Convergence Clubs for Urban and Rural Populations in Post-Soviet Russia

ERI FEB RAS	Issue's contents	RUS
	Regionalistica 2025 Volume 12 number 4 pages 5-32

Title of the article	Age-Specific Fertility Regional Convergence Clubs for Urban and Rural Populations in Post-Soviet Russia
Pages	5-32
Author	Domnich Yegor Leonidovich candidate of sciences (economics), senior research fellow Economic Research Institute FEB RAS 153, Tikhookeanskaya Street, Khabarovsk, Russia, 680042 This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. ORCID: 0000-0002-1379-8053
Abstract	The concept of demographic transition, developed within the Unified Growth Theory, provides that the rate of key demographic indicators change may be uneven across different territories, time periods and age groups. Therefore, it is of considerable scientific and practical interest to identify spatiotemporal, and age segments whose demographic development is convergent in one sense or another. A study using the Phillips and Sul’s methodology identified age-specific fertility regional convergence clubs for urban and rural population in post-Soviet Russia from 1990 to 2023. It has been found that the number of such clubs increases with a decrease and decreases with an increase in the age of women in labor. The type of settlement also matters: the number of convergence clubs is higher in rural areas and lower in urban areas. Divergent regions that are not included in any of the convergence clubs have been identified for the younger age groups (15–19 and 20–24 years old), as well as the rural population aged 25–29 years. Based on the analysis of the composition of regional age-specific fertility convergence clubs, a typology of fertility dynamics in the five-year age groups of urban and rural populations by stages of demographic transition is proposed, corresponding to the international experience in researching long-term trends in demographic development.
Code	314
DOI	10.14530/reg.2025.4.5
Keywords	age-specific fertility rate, urban population, rural population, convergence, divergence, convergence clubs, unified growth theory, demographic transition, clustering of time series, regions of Russia
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For citation	Domnich Y.L. Age-Specific Fertility Regional Convergence Clubs for Urban and Rural Populations in Post-Soviet Russia. Regionalistica [Regionalistics]. 2025. Vol. 12. No. 4. Pp. 5–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.14530/reg.2025.4.5 (In Russian)
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