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ERI FEB RAS
2024-3
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Title of the article Russia – ASEAN Relations Under Current Circumstances
Pages 30-45
Author Dyomina Yana ValeryevnaDyomina Yana Valeryevna
candidate of sciences (economics), senior research fellow
Economic Research Institute FEB RAS
153, Tikhookeanskaya Street, Khabarovsk, Russia, 680042
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ORCID: 0000-0001-5208-7273
Abstract The author analyzes reactions of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) to the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. The results show that positions of ASEAN member states are poorly correlated with the dynamics of their trade with the Russian Federation. Thus, despite the fact that the political reaction of the Association member states to the Russian-Ukrainian conflict remains mostly neutral, ASEAN’s trade turnover with Russia decreased by 15,4% in 2022 compared to 2021. This was due to the lessening of Russian imports (a sharp decline occurred in Q2 2022). Supplies to Russia decreased from all ASEAN member states, while exports from Russia shrank to Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam. The largest decrease in trade volumes in March 2022 was with Vietnam. In general, the reduction in bilateral trade was not destructive due to Russia’s modest share in ASEAN’s trade turnover (less than 1% on average for 2012–2023). Trade dynamics were largely influenced by US, Japan and EU sanctions against the Russian Federation, which affected payment and insurance transactions, maritime transportation, as well as reputational risks of multinational companies operating in East Asia.
Code 339.5+339.9
DOI 10.14530/reg.2024.3.30
Keywords export, import, sanctions, Russia, East Asia, ASEAN
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For citation Dyomina Ya.V. Russia – ASEAN Relations Under Current Circumstances. Regionalistica [Regionalistics]. 2024. Vol. 11. No. 3. Pp. 30–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.14530/reg.2024.3.30 (In Russian)
References 1. Dyomina O.V., Mazitova M.G. Export Specialization of the Fuel and Energy Complex of the Far Eastern Federal District: The Impact of Sanctions Restrictions. Regionalistica [Regionalistics]. 2022. Vol. 9. No. 6. Pp. 67–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.14530/reg.2022.6.67 (In Russian)
2. Dyomina Ya.V. Foreign Trade of Russia and Its Far East with ASEAN: Comparative Analysis of Dynamics and Structure. Regionalistica [Regionalistics]. 2022. Vol. 9. No. 2. Pp. 49–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.14530/reg.2022.2.49 (In Russian)
3. Promotion of Russia’s Economic Interests in East Asian Countries. Working Paper No. 72 / 2022. Ed. by E.O. Karpinskaya, S.M. Gavrilova. Moscow, 2022. 140 p. (In Russian)
4. Russian «Neighborhood Belt» Under of the Sanctions War. Ed. by L.B. Vardomsky, I.A. Korgun, N.V. Kulikova, A.G. Pylin. Moscow, 2022. 118 p. (In Russian)
5. Russia and Asia: The Paradoxes of a New Reality. Valdai Discussion Club Report. September 2023. Available at: https://ru.valdaiclub.com/files/45712/ (accessed 22 May 2024). (In Russian)
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