Tools for Estimating Large-Scale Transport Projects in a Situation of Radical Uncertainty

ERI FEB RAS	Issue's contents	RUS
	Regionalistica 2022 Volume 9 number 1 pages 48-58

Title of the article	Tools for Estimating Large-Scale Transport Projects in a Situation of Radical Uncertainty
Pages	48-58
Author 1	Kibalov Evgeny Borisovich doctor of economics, professor, chief researcher Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering SB RAS 17, Academician Lavrentyev Avenue, Novosibirsk, Russia, 630090 This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. ORCID: 0000-0002-1568-3508
Author 2	Pyataev Maksim Viktorovich candidate of sciences (economics), head of the department «System Analysis and Project Management» Siberian Transport University 191, Dusi Kovalchuk Street, Novosibirsk, Russia, 630049 This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. ORCID: 0000-0002-0844-7574
Abstract	The purpose of the article is to demonstrate how the systemic analysis of the effectiveness of large-scale railway projects with high strategic significance for the country should be carried out. The achievement of the set goal is racing on the example of three projects: Transpolar Mainline, Lena-Kamchatka Mainline and the railway crossing to Sakhalin Island. Projects of this scale implemented in the territory of Siberia and the Far East are unacceptable to evaluate from the point of view of their commercial efficiency. Within the framework of this study, it is proposed to use the logical-heuristic model for assessing the effectiveness of large-scale railway projects based on expert technology.
Code	330.5+656
DOI	10.14530/reg.2022.1.48
Keywords	expert technologies ♦ large-scale projects ♦ megaprojects ♦ system analysis ♦ project management ♦ railway projects ♦ uncertainty ♦ transport infrastructure
Download	2022-01.48.pdf
For citation	Kibalov E.B., Pyataev M.V. Tools for Estimating Large-Scale Transport Projects in a Situation of Radical Uncertainty. Regionalistica [Regionalistics]. 2022. Vol. 9. No. 1. Pp. 48–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.14530/reg.2022.1.48 (In Russian)
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Financing	Completed according to the research plan of the IEIE SB RAS, Project 5.6.1.5. (0260-2021-0002) «Integration and Interaction of Mesoeconomic Systems and Markets in Russia and Its Eastern Regions: Methodology, Analysis, Prediction».
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